Our PGA Tour Picks series continues as the 2023 U.S. Open is just around the corner, and golf fans are eagerly anticipating the tournament.
After the Canadian RBC’s exciting playoff finish between Nick Taylor and Tommy Fleetwood, the competition this week at the U.S. Open is sure to be even more fun to watch (and bet on). The field for the U.S. Open is always stacked with the best golfers in the world, and this year is no exception.
Scottie Scheffler, John Rahm, and Brooks Koepka are all among the favorites, but there are plenty of other players who could contend in our betting preview of the U.S. Open. The tournament is always unpredictable, and it is sure to be an exciting week of golf.
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What Is The U.S. Open?
The U.S. Open is the third of four majors on the PGA Tour, and it is always challenging to pick the winner of the tournament. The course is typically set up to be very difficult and usually done so on purpose. This makes for a great test of golf, and it is always exciting to see who comes out on top.
Where Is The 2023 U.S. Open?
This year’s U.S. Open is being held at The Los Angeles Country Club. The 7,423-yard, par-70 course at The Country Club is a stern test for golfers, with five par-3s and three par-5s.
This is the first time a U.S. Open has been played on a course with this many par-3s, and it is sure to create a challenging test for the players. The narrow fairways and fast greens will also make it difficult for players to score low.
Our Top PGA Tour Picks For The 2023 U.S Open
Here is a look at some of the top-ranked golfers to bet on for this PGA Tour Tournament, along with some sleeper picks with the potential to win outright.
We will break them down into tiers based on our opinionated picks of who in the top 25-50 can win you some money.
Tier 1: Our Favorites
These are the golfers who are most likely to win the tournament. They have a combination of recent form and talent that makes them the favorites. Odds via MyBookie.AG Sportsbook — the best offshore site to wager on the U.S. Open. (Bold is our Picks to win)
- Scottie Scheffler (+700)
- Jon Rahm (+1000)
- Brooks Koepka (+1100)
- Rory McIlroy (+1200)
- Viktor Hovland (+1600)
- Patrick Cantlay (+1600)
Tier 2: Sleepers
These are the golfers who are not the favorites, but they have the potential to win the tournament. They may be coming off a good run of form, or they may have a good course history. (Bold is our sleeper pick to win)
- Xander Schauffele (+2000)
- Jordan Spieth (+2500)
- Cameron Smith (+3000)
- Max Homa (+3000)
- Tony Finau (+3300)
Tier 3: Long Shots
These are the golfers who are unlikely to win this PGA Tour, but they could be a hell of a pick if everything breaks right for them. They may be a young player who is still finding his way, or they may be a veteran who is looking for one last win. (Bold are golfers we are betting on)
- Cameron Young (+5000)
- Tommy Fleetwood (+4000)
- Corey Conners (+5500)
- Justin Thomas (+4500)
- Matt Fitzpatrick (+3300)
- Justin Rose (+4000)
- Tyrell Hatton (+3300)
When choosing your PGA Tour picks, it is important to remember that even the favorite is not a sure thing. The odds are typically starting around +700, which means that there is a 12.5% chance of winning.
However, if you do hit the mark, you can win some big bucks. Don’t be afraid to take a chance on a long shot. You never know when they might come through for you.
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Bankroll Management For Betting The U.S. Open
Here’s exactly how I bet on tournaments like the U.S. Open. A balance between safe and exotic bets will allow you to pursue a huge payday while not going broke.
Budget:
The “Safer” Golfers To Bet
Viktor Hovland ($100 to win $1600)
He has had an outstanding year in golf, currently holding the impressive 5th rank among PGA golfers worldwide. He’s one of our favorite picks for a few reasons but notably, due to his most recent PGA Tour outing, the 2023 Memorial Tournament, he emerged victorious.
Despite his remarkable performance, he has narrowly missed winning a major event in his career, securing a commendable 2nd place at the PGA Championship and an overall 7th place finish at the Masters.
It’s evident that he is on the brink of success, and I firmly believe that he will take home some hardware from a major championship sooner rather than later.
John Rahm ($100 to win $1000)
Besides being the number one world-ranked golfer, you know what else John Rahm is? He’s ranked number one in Par 3 performance in 2022-23 according to CBS Golf. With so many par 3 holes in this U.S. Open tournament, what else do you need to hear?
PGA Tour Sleepers and Longshots Picks ($25 split between 4 golfers)
With the lowest payout of the bunch being +3000 we have selected Max Homa as our sleeper due to his excellent par 3 play and overall ability to win. Long shots in Young, Thomas, and Hatton are all simply good value plays, and when picking long shots, sometimes you just have that gut feeling!
PGA Tour Picks & Prop Bets For The U.S. Open
- Top American (or any nationality): This prop bet is for who you think will finish the tournament with the lowest score among all American (or your choice of nationality) golfers. The oddsmakers will set the odds for each golfer, and you can bet on who you think will finish the highest.
- Bogey Free Rounds: This prop bet is when you make a wager that a specific golfer in which you pick, will not have a bogey throughout the entire round you choose.
- Leader After Each Round: This prop bet is for who you think will be the leader after each round of the tournament. The oddsmakers will set the odds for each golfer during each round, and you can bet on who you think will be in the lead at the end of the day.
If you are looking for a more exciting way to bet on golf, prop bets are a great option, and don’t feel like you missed out at any point, because live bets can make you TONS of money in these events as well.